In 2006, Aljunied was won by the PAP by 56%.
Based on that, the following GRCs are vulnerable and the ministers these GRCs should helming should be afraid, very afraid.
Senior Minister Goh Chok Tong held on to Marine Parade with 56.65 per cent of the vote, labour chief Lim Swee Say and Transport Minister Raymond Lim retained East Coast with 54.83 per cent, while Deputy Prime Minister Wong Kan Seng and Education Minister Ng Eng Hen kept Bishan-Toa Payoh with a 57% win.
There is more to PAP’s overall share decline from 66.6% to 60.1% than meets the eye. In the wards that were contested in both 2006 and 2011, the loss is likely much higher. Put it another way, PAP’s share would likely have been higher than 66.6% in 2006 if most wards were contested.
Yes, PAP should be very afraid. They may have lost up to 10% voters to the opposition camp in this election. If nothing changes, GRC or not will not save the day in 2016.