atans1

Buying property stocks: What can go wrong?

In Economy, Property on 15/09/2011 at 8:00 am

Maybe as part of a campaign to make us “feel good”, the constructive, nation-building local media are highlighting that stockbrokers are telling their clients that property stocks are trading at a discount to their net asset valuation (where once they traded at premiums)  or way below  their usual discount net asset valuation.

Hence there are gd buys around.

But there is the fine print that the MSM don’t report or don’t highlight. The brokers point out that they are assuming a slowdown in the economy, not a global recession. Neither they nor MSM highlight that investors are assuming the worst, a global recession, and hence are pricing the stocks at recession values i.e. investors do not believe the values brokers are pricing the assets at because they think the brokers are optimistic.

So if you believe that the world economy is only experiencing a slow-down, go ahead and buy the recommended property stocks. But if you are afraid of a recession, sit tight. The discounts will bet bigger

About these ads
  1. Very true – a lot of the young analysts have not been through a serious recession or a property slump took 10 years to recover!

    Citing big discounts to RNAV is a weak argument because they are not even remotely incorporating a potential devaluation in RNAV…

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 218 other followers

%d bloggers like this: