Chinese banks may struggle to recoup about 23% of the Rmb7,700bn (US$1,100bn) they’ve lent to finance local government infrastructure projects . reports Bloomberg quoting “a person with knowledge of data collected by the nation’s regulator”.
The estimate implies US$261bn of debt will go bad, almost five times the US$53.5bn the nation’s five largest banks are raising to replenish capital. Remember Temasek owns 4% of Bank of China and 6% of China Construction Bank, both of which have raised more capital from shareholders. And 18% -owned StanChart invested $500 million in Agricultural Bank of China’s recent IPO.
If the estimate proves even a bit correct, Temasek will be having to invest more in the next few years to avoid dilution.