atans1

Soros is v. gloomy/ 2008 or 1998

In China, Financial competency on 09/01/2016 at 2:25 pm

George Soros is more gloomy, telling an economic forum in Sri Lanka:

“China has a major adjustment problem. I would say it amounts to a crisis. When I look at the financial markets there is a serious challenge which reminds me of the crisis we had in 2008.”

BBC Online

More like 1998 than 2008

If China devalues, then other Asian nations will come under pressure to follow suit, for fear of losing competitive position. That will trigger worries about those Asian companies that have borrowed in dollars. there could be banking issues in Asia.

This is a potentially worrying scenario. Whether 2008 is the right parallel is another matter. If the bearish case does come true, then it sounds more like 1998 when a round of Asian devaluations was triggered by the realisation that growth had been fuelled by speculation. Western economies did manage to overcome that crisis. The real worry is that emerging countries are a lot more important for the global economy than they were back then.

Economist’s Buttonwood

Take yr pick.

  1. Probably both. Shiok man. Anyway no worries lah. Golden times sure come afterwards.

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