atans1

Two experts think Wuhan virus is juz “bad cold”

In Uncategorized on 16/02/2020 at 10:33 am

Update on 16 February at 10.55 am: World Health Organisation (WHO) found 82% of infected have mild symptoms, 15% severe and 3% critical. COVID-19 fatality rate far lower than SARS, closer to H1N1 according to WHO. Sounds like common flu to me.

PAP govt says:

COVID-19 spreads easily

– Infectious as influenza
– Infectious even if symptoms mild
– Stay home even with mild flu-like symptoms)

——————————————–

“Fear spreads faster than infection?” the BBC asks. “Social media was giving people partial information, but not all the facts, and that magnified their concerns,” Dr Lee Riley, professor of infectious diseases and vaccinology at the University of California


First coronavirus death outside Asia as China toll passes 1,500 is what media is reporting now.


But first, John Nicholls, a professor in pathology at the University of Hong Kong compares the novel coronavirus to a bad cold. It’s a rare upbeat assessment that defies consensus. Nicholls has said this on CNN and elsewhere.

Nicholls downplays the severity of the epidemic as fear and panic were spreading. His hometown, Hong Kong,  closed schools for over a month and speculation of shortages has prompted shoppers to hoard toilet paper and other goods.

Then there is Dr Lee Riley, professor of infectious diseases and vaccinology at the University of California – a man who has spent his career studying epidemics, including a spell at the World Health Organization.

He was surprisingly sanguine about the coronavirus, pointing out that common-or-garden influenza was far more deadly, though he said he understood that uncertainty about the nature of the disease was bound to make people fearful.

But he said a 24/7 news culture and the rise of social media made that fear spread faster than the virus itself – especially as the coronavirus was being diagnosed far more rapidly than Sars was 20 years ago.

“They do the diagnosis, and then we hear about the news of the diagnosis right away throughout the world instantaneously. They’re constantly getting updates on this… and I think that feeds into some of the anxiety that people have.”

Social media was giving people partial information, but not all the facts, and that magnified their concerns.

He seemed surprised when we told him there was talk of cancelling Mobile World Congress. He said that would be an “over-reaction”. Even if people were attending the show from China, he said, “we have new ways to diagnose these types of infections very quickly and accurately so that shouldn’t be a concern.”

https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-51510196

What do you think?

“Better safe than sorry” is the BS response. But what is “safe” and what is “sorry”?

Answers pls.

  1. the current virus is less deadly than sars, middle east virus or Spanish flu – so far outside mainland china 5 people out of around 500 have died – and is somewhat less contagious than sars if u consider a one-on-one transfer, but it has longer incubation period and recovery, during which u can pass it to a lot more people, and its origin in the wild animal meat market was much larger than a few hospital cases for sars; the current epidemic is on a large scale with much greater economic impact

  2. Comparing to H1N1, there is more media hysteria creating mass panic. H1N1 kill more ppl (at the moment comparing to Covid 19) but there is less coverage. Perhaps its an “ang moh” virus. Cannot give too much attention.

    Covid-19 is more infectious than H1N1. But I think because its a “Chinese” virus. Easy for media to go bashing the Chinese. Furthermore, the extreme lockdown of the people in China and the general distrust of the Chinese statistics create more mass panic among the general population.

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